Thursday, 4 October 2012

Where is the socialism of which you speak?


Every few days I seem to end up with an argument where I comment [1] on economics & politics about socialism and what it’s done to the world over the last 30 years.

1945 until early 1970s
After the Second World War we had an informal agreement between capital and labour of what was the called the post war consensus which was really a social democratic system, yes tax rates for the richest were very high around 90% and above in some countries but it worked we had good growth and an acceptable wealth gap.
Company directors etc worked with a reasonable 6-12 times general workers salary.

Keynesian lite policies were used and the western nations become very prosperous and generally fair places to live unlike the communist east at the time. Full employment was the accepted norm although has to be said that was for men but this was a different time.
 It would be unfair to say that it wasn’t without problems but what system is perfect?

Early 1970s onwards
The oil shock of the early 70s caused some severe push/cost inflation, with full employment at the time this then caused demand/pull inflation with a wage price spiral leading to the famous stagflation [2] of those years. Keynesian lite policies didn’t seem to provide an answer to these problems.

The rise of the right

Into this mix come along Milton Friedman and the Chicago school [3] of free markets and dislike of the state who stepped up a campaign to get their policies adopted. They were lucky enough to find Ronald Reagan for the republicans and Margaret Thatcher (already a big admirer of the free market economist Freidrick Van Hayek) for the conservatives who would listen to their ideas and put them into practice. This gave rise to the movement of Neoliberalism[4] (also known as Neocon in the US)

Into the 90s
The Neoliberals took over more and more as we moved into the 90s and even into the late 90s when Clinton for the Democrats and Tony Blair for “new” Labour come to power there really wasn’t much difference, you really couldn’t if you looked at the policies closely actually find much difference between the parties. They may have been a bit fairer but that was really it. The deregulation started by Reagan and Thatcher was carried on with even less particularly in the FIRE (Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate) sector after all the Neoliberal mantra that markets are self regulating and tend towards equilibrium, globalisation and movement of capital across borders, jobs off shoring for higher profits. At no point was there a socialist government who said stop lets have a look at what’s going on.
A completely free market & free capital movement is total anathema to a socialist so I am always very confused at the accusations or is something more sinister at work?

More on that next time.


Andy




[2] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stagflation
[3] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chicago_school_of_economics
[4] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neoliberalism

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